Game
Mexico
Mexico
MEX
1617Rating
2 - 3
HT 1 - 2
England
England
ENG
1604Rating
Notable Events
11th meeting between England and Mexico 11th
13th time the score was 2-3 in the FIFA World Cup 13th
19th 3-2 involving England 19th
19th 2-3 involving Mexico 19th
1st 2-3 involving Mexico in the FIFA World Cup 1st
255th game played in Mexico City 255th
8th game for England in Mexico City 8th
197th game for Mexico in Mexico City 197th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
74 / 100 Marquee
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A marquee match. High stakes, well-matched rivals, and the kind of stage that elevates a fixture into the top tier.

Rating Impact

Mexico ▼ -20.9
Before
1617
After
1596
Win expected: 62%
England ▲ +20.9
Before
1604
After
1625
Win expected: 38%
Pre-Match Win Probability
62%
38%
Mexico England

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Mexico59.2% probabilityModel pick
MissedActual: EnglandVerdict
1.91 - 0.97Actual: 2 - 3Expected score
0.590 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Mexico Draw England
59% 22% 19%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
53
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Knockout Stages
Stage
Round of 16
Venue
Mexico

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Mexico and England prior to this game.

H 24 May 10 AWAY
3 - 1
Friendly
H 25 May 01 AWAY
4 - 0
Friendly