Game
Mexico
Mexico
MEX
1611Rating
2 - 3
HT 1 - 2
England
England
ENG
1603Rating
Notable Events
19th 2-3 involving Mexico 19th
2nd 2-3 involving Mexico in the FIFA World Cup 2nd
8th game for England in Mexico City 8th
198th game for Mexico in Mexico City 198th
7th game for England at Azteca Stadium 7th
150th game for Mexico at Azteca Stadium 150th
19th 3-2 involving England 19th
255th game played in Mexico City 255th
11th meeting between England and Mexico 11th
185th game played at Azteca Stadium 185th
15th time the score was 2-3 in the FIFA World Cup 15th

AI Synopsis

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Match Importance
73 / 100 Marquee
Minimal Low Medium Marquee Elite

A marquee match. High stakes, well-matched rivals, and the kind of stage that elevates a fixture into the top tier.

Rating Impact

Mexico ▼ -20.9
Before
1611
After
1590
Win expected: 61%
England ▲ +20.9
Before
1603
After
1624
Win expected: 39%
Pre-Match Win Probability
61%
39%
Mexico England

Model Verdict

What the WFS predictor said before kickoff

Mexico59.2% probabilityModel pick
MissedActual: EnglandVerdict
1.91 - 0.98Actual: 2 - 3Expected score
0.590 = textbook · 1 = shockSurprise
Mexico Draw England
59% 22% 19%
Over 2.5 goals
55
Both teams to score
53
Tournament
Competition
FIFA World Cup
Edition
2026
Phase
Knockout Stages
Stage
Round of 16
Venue
Azteca StadiumSanta Ursula
Mexico

Data Confidence

Previous Meetings

Match-Up Analysis

Head-to-head matches between Mexico and England prior to this game.

H 24 May 10
3 - 1
Friendly
H 25 May 01
4 - 0
Friendly