Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Zimbabwe
45.3% win probability
Predicted winner
26.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.43 - 1.07
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 46%
Total goals

Zimbabwe

1372#134
CAF
VS

India

1340#158
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

45.3% 26.4% 28.3%
ZIM
IND
32
Rating Gap
1.43
Exp. Goals ZIM
1.07
Exp. Goals IND
71.7%
ZIM No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 4W/2W

Zimbabwe won 4 of their last 10 games; India won 2. Current form favours Zimbabwe.

Tournament Pedigree 2023

Both teams are major tournament winners. Zimbabwe's most recent title: 2018. India's most recent title: 2023.

Underdog Record 22% W

India have won 22% of games entering as underdogs (57W from 264). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 2.65 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 46%).

Rating Gap 32 pts

Zimbabwe hold a 32-point rating edge: roughly 4.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2003-2026

1
ZIM Win
0
Draws
1
IND Win
4
Goals For
5
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
117
Games Played
121
28.2%
Win %
34.7%
1.15
Goals Per Game
1.22
1.09
Goals Against / Game
1.16
32.5%
Clean Sheet %
34.7%
40.2%
Failed to Score %
32.2%
15.4%
Goalless Draws %
11.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,372
Current Rating
1,340
#134
World Ranking
#158
49.8%
Win as Favourite
50.3%
24.4%
Win as Underdog
21.6%
7
Longest Win Streak
9
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
13
1508 (2005)
Peak Rating
1464 (2018)
6W-15L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-7L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

45.3% 26.4% 28.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 30 May 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Friendly Tournament
H 29 Oct 03 AWAY
5 - 3
Afro-Asian Games

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
9.0%
0 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.4%
0 - 0
8.1%