Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Vietnam
88.5% win probability
Predicted winner
9.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.85 - 0.32
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.2
Over 2.5: 61%
Total goals

Vietnam

1470#42
AFC
VS

Cambodia

1332#165
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

88.5% 9.1% 2.4%
VIE
CAM
138
Rating Gap
2.85
Exp. Goals VIE
0.32
Exp. Goals CAM
97.6%
VIE No Defeat
3.2
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 9W/3W

Vietnam won 9 of their last 10 games; Cambodia won 3. Current form favours Vietnam.

H2H Dominance 11W-0W

Vietnam hold the historical edge: 11W-0D-0L across 11 meetings.

Win Streak 5 games

Vietnam are currently on a 5-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Rating Gap 138 pts

Vietnam hold a 138-point rating edge: roughly 20.6% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 21pp

Vietnam keep 34.6% clean sheets vs Cambodia's 13.5%, a 21pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Vietnam have a major tournament title to their name; Cambodia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

11 meeting(s) · 1996-2025

11
VIE Win
0
Draws
0
CAM Win
49
Goals For
7
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
125
Games Played
99
50.4%
Win %
26.3%
1.62
Goals Per Game
1.13
1.05
Goals Against / Game
2.47
40.0%
Clean Sheet %
17.2%
27.2%
Failed to Score %
37.4%
8.8%
Goalless Draws %
3.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,470
Current Rating
1,332
#42
World Ranking
#165
62.9%
Win as Favourite
47.9%
24.0%
Win as Underdog
13.8%
7
Longest Win Streak
4
18
Longest Unbeaten Run
4
1488 (2019)
Peak Rating
1383 (1995)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

88.5% 9.1% 2.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 19 Mar 25 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
H 19 Dec 21 NEUTRAL
4 - 0
AFF Championship
H 24 Nov 18 AWAY
3 - 0
AFF Championship
H 10 Oct 17 AWAY
5 - 0
AFC Asian Cup
A 05 Sep 17 AWAY
1 - 2
AFC Asian Cup
H 26 Nov 16 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
AFF Championship
H 09 Dec 04 AWAY
9 - 1
AFF Championship
H 15 Dec 02 NEUTRAL
9 - 2
AFF Championship
A 07 Nov 00 NEUTRAL
0 - 6
AFF Championship
A 02 Sep 96 NEUTRAL
1 - 3
AFF Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
17.0%
3 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
11.9%
4 - 0
11.5%
5 - 0
6.5%
2 - 1
5.5%