Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Vietnam
95.5% win probability
Predicted winner
4.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
3.56 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.7
Over 2.5: 72%
Total goals

Vietnam

1517#26
AFC
VS

Cambodia

1324#170
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

95.5% 4.0% 0.5%
VIE
CAM
193
Rating Gap
3.56
Exp. Goals VIE
0.15
Exp. Goals CAM
99.5%
VIE No Defeat
3.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 193 pts

Vietnam hold a 193-point rating edge: roughly 29.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 7W/4W

Vietnam won 7 of their last 10 games; Cambodia won 4. Current form favours Vietnam.

H2H Dominance 12W-0W

Vietnam hold the historical edge: 12W-0D-0L across 12 meetings.

Clean Sheet Rate 22pp

Vietnam keep 35.8% clean sheets vs Cambodia's 14.0%, a 22pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2026

Vietnam have a major tournament title to their name; Cambodia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 15% W

Cambodia have won 15% of games entering as underdogs (29W from 193). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

12 meeting(s) · 2000-2026

12
VIE Win
0
Draws
0
CAM Win
52
Goals For
8
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
137
Games Played
106
52.6%
Win %
26.4%
1.70
Goals Per Game
1.14
0.99
Goals Against / Game
2.44
42.3%
Clean Sheet %
17.9%
26.3%
Failed to Score %
35.8%
8.8%
Goalless Draws %
2.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,517
Current Rating
1,324
#26
World Ranking
#170
63.6%
Win as Favourite
44.9%
23.6%
Win as Underdog
15.0%
14
Longest Win Streak
4
26
Longest Unbeaten Run
4
1546 (2026)
Peak Rating
1383 (1995)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

95.5% 4.0% 0.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 07 Aug 26
3 - 1
ASEAN Championship
H 19 Mar 25
2 - 1
Friendly
H 19 Dec 21NEUTRAL
4 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 24 Nov 18
3 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 10 Oct 17
5 - 0
AFC Asian Cup
A 05 Sep 17
1 - 2
AFC Asian Cup
H 26 Nov 16NEUTRAL
2 - 1
ASEAN Championship
H 09 Dec 04
9 - 1
ASEAN Championship
H 15 Dec 02NEUTRAL
9 - 2
ASEAN Championship
A 07 Nov 00NEUTRAL
0 - 6
ASEAN Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
3 - 0
18.4%
4 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
15.5%
5 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
8.7%
3 - 1
2.8%