Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Vietnam
89.2% win probability
Predicted winner
9.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.71 - 0.22
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 56%
Total goals

Vietnam

1470#47
AFC
VS

Bangladesh

1320#171
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

89.2% 9.0% 1.7%
VIE
BAN
150
Rating Gap
2.71
Exp. Goals VIE
0.22
Exp. Goals BAN
98.2%
VIE No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 9W/3W

Vietnam won 9 of their last 10 games; Bangladesh won 3. Current form favours Vietnam.

Win Streak 5 games

Vietnam are currently on a 5-game winning run. Momentum is firmly with them entering this match.

Rating Gap 150 pts

Vietnam hold a 150-point rating edge: roughly 22.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 9pp

Vietnam keep 34.6% clean sheets vs Bangladesh's 25.4%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Vietnam's most recent title: 2024. Bangladesh's most recent title: 2003.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2001-2026

2
VIE Win
1
Draws
0
BAN Win
7
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
125
Games Played
105
50.4%
Win %
23.8%
1.62
Goals Per Game
0.74
1.05
Goals Against / Game
1.78
40.0%
Clean Sheet %
25.7%
27.2%
Failed to Score %
49.5%
8.8%
Goalless Draws %
10.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,470
Current Rating
1,320
#47
World Ranking
#171
62.9%
Win as Favourite
49.5%
24.0%
Win as Underdog
15.3%
7
Longest Win Streak
5
18
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1487 (2019)
Peak Rating
1406 (2005)
2W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

89.2% 9.0% 1.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 26 Mar 26 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
H 15 Feb 01 NEUTRAL
4 - 0
FIFA World Cup
D 08 Feb 01 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
19.7%
3 - 0
17.7%
1 - 0
14.5%
4 - 0
12.0%
5 - 0
6.5%
0 - 0
5.4%