Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Türkiye
74.8% win probability
Predicted winner
16.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.66 - 2.32
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 57%
Total goals

Venezuela

1429#70
CONMEBOL
VS

Türkiye

1522#24
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

8.8% 16.4% 74.8%
VEN
TUR
93
Rating Gap
0.66
Exp. Goals VEN
2.32
Exp. Goals TUR
25.2%
VEN No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 3W/7W

Türkiye won 7 of their last 10 games; Venezuela won 3. Current form favours Türkiye.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

When Favourite 74% W

Türkiye win 74% of games when entering as the favoured side (23W from 31). Reliable frontrunners.

Rating Gap 93 pts

Türkiye hold a 93-point rating edge: roughly 14.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 1982

Venezuela have a major tournament title to their name; Türkiye do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 3.0 xG

Combined avg of 3.00 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.0 (Over 2.5 probability: 57%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
VEN Win
0
Draws
1
TUR Win
1
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
107
Games Played
50
30.8%
Win %
60.0%
1.10
Goals Per Game
1.92
1.28
Goals Against / Game
1.28
31.8%
Clean Sheet %
32.0%
33.6%
Failed to Score %
20.0%
11.2%
Goalless Draws %
6.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,429
Current Rating
1,522
#70
World Ranking
#24
43.7%
Win as Favourite
74.2%
23.2%
Win as Underdog
36.8%
5
Longest Win Streak
4
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
8
1470 (2024)
Peak Rating
1542 (2026)
0W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

8.8% 16.4% 74.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
13.7%
0 - 1
11.8%
0 - 3
10.6%
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 3
7.0%