Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Venezuela
38.3% win probability
Predicted winner
26.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.34 - 1.28
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals

Venezuela

1429#70
CONMEBOL
VS

Trinidad & Tobago

1378#122
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

38.3% 26.3% 35.4%
VEN
TRI
52
Rating Gap
1.34
Exp. Goals VEN
1.28
Exp. Goals TRI
64.6%
VEN No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 4W-0W

Venezuela hold the historical edge: 4W-3D-0L across 7 meetings.

Recent Form 3W/1W

Venezuela won 3 of their last 10 games; Trinidad & Tobago won 1. Current form favours Venezuela.

Tournament Pedigree 2001

Both teams are major tournament winners. Venezuela's most recent title: 1982. Trinidad & Tobago's most recent title: 2001.

Rating Gap 52 pts

Venezuela hold a 52-point rating edge: roughly 7.7% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 27% W

Trinidad & Tobago have won 27% of games entering as underdogs (75W from 282). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 2.76 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 48%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

7 meeting(s) · 1971-2026

4
VEN Win
3
Draws
0
TRI Win
12
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
107
Games Played
142
30.8%
Win %
31.0%
1.10
Goals Per Game
1.46
1.28
Goals Against / Game
1.68
31.8%
Clean Sheet %
25.4%
33.6%
Failed to Score %
34.5%
11.2%
Goalless Draws %
6.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,429
Current Rating
1,378
#70
World Ranking
#122
43.7%
Win as Favourite
51.0%
23.2%
Win as Underdog
26.6%
5
Longest Win Streak
8
7
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1470 (2024)
Peak Rating
1547 (1996)
0W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

38.3% 26.3% 35.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
4 - 1
FIFA Series
H 14 Oct 19 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly
D 03 Jul 03 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly
H 30 Apr 03 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly
D 07 Jan 96 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
D 05 Jan 96 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
H 13 Nov 71 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
9.8%
0 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
8.0%
0 - 0
7.3%