Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Uzbekistan
57.9% win probability
Predicted winner
23.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.75 - 0.88
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Total goals

Uzbekistan

1464#45
AFC
VS

Venezuela

1429#70
CONMEBOL
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

57.9% 23.4% 18.7%
UZB
VEN
35
Rating Gap
1.75
Exp. Goals UZB
0.88
Exp. Goals VEN
81.3%
UZB No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 17pp

Uzbekistan keep 41.3% clean sheets vs Venezuela's 24.2%, a 17pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 2W/3W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Uzbekistan 2/10, Venezuela 3/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2025

Both teams are major tournament winners. Uzbekistan's most recent title: 2025. Venezuela's most recent title: 1982.

Underdog Record 23% W

Venezuela have won 23% of games entering as underdogs (92W from 396). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 19 games

Uzbekistan's longest unbeaten run is 19 games vs Venezuela's 7. Uzbekistan have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2023-2026

0
UZB Win
2
Draws
0
VEN Win
1
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
135
Games Played
107
53.3%
Win %
30.8%
1.51
Goals Per Game
1.10
0.90
Goals Against / Game
1.28
48.1%
Clean Sheet %
31.8%
28.1%
Failed to Score %
33.6%
9.6%
Goalless Draws %
11.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,464
Current Rating
1,429
#45
World Ranking
#70
60.4%
Win as Favourite
43.7%
20.0%
Win as Underdog
23.2%
8
Longest Win Streak
5
19
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1563 (1994)
Peak Rating
1470 (2024)
1W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

57.9% 23.4% 18.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 30 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 0
FIFA Series
D 28 Mar 23 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
0 - 0
7.2%
3 - 0
6.4%