Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Türkiye
75.0% win probability
Predicted winner
16.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.32 - 0.65
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 57%
Total goals

Türkiye

1522#23
UEFA
VS

Venezuela

1429#70
CONMEBOL
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

75.0% 16.3% 8.7%
TUR
VEN
93
Rating Gap
2.32
Exp. Goals TUR
0.65
Exp. Goals VEN
91.3%
TUR No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 7W/3W

Türkiye won 7 of their last 10 games; Venezuela won 3. Current form favours Türkiye.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 9pp

Türkiye keep 33.3% clean sheets vs Venezuela's 24.2%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

When Favourite 77% W

Türkiye win 77% of games when entering as the favoured side (23W from 30). Reliable frontrunners.

Rating Gap 93 pts

Türkiye hold a 93-point rating edge: roughly 13.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 1982

Venezuela have a major tournament title to their name; Türkiye do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
TUR Win
0
Draws
0
VEN Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
48
Games Played
107
60.4%
Win %
30.8%
1.94
Goals Per Game
1.10
1.27
Goals Against / Game
1.28
33.3%
Clean Sheet %
31.8%
18.8%
Failed to Score %
33.6%
6.2%
Goalless Draws %
11.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,522
Current Rating
1,429
#23
World Ranking
#70
76.7%
Win as Favourite
43.7%
33.3%
Win as Underdog
23.2%
4
Longest Win Streak
5
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1542 (2026)
Peak Rating
1470 (2024)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

75.0% 16.3% 8.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
6.9%