Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Türkiye
60.0% win probability
Predicted winner
22.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.85 - 0.89
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Türkiye

1522#24
UEFA
VS

Paraguay

1456#55
CONMEBOL
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

60.0% 22.4% 17.6%
TUR
PAR
66
Rating Gap
1.85
Exp. Goals TUR
0.89
Exp. Goals PAR
82.4%
TUR No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 7W/4W

Türkiye won 7 of their last 10 games; Paraguay won 4. Current form favours Türkiye.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

When Favourite 74% W

Türkiye win 74% of games when entering as the favoured side (23W from 31). Reliable frontrunners.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.20 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Tournament Pedigree 1979

Paraguay have a major tournament title to their name; Türkiye do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 66 pts

Türkiye hold a 66-point rating edge: roughly 9.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
TUR Win
0
Draws
1
PAR Win
0
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
50
Games Played
104
60.0%
Win %
26.9%
1.92
Goals Per Game
0.91
1.28
Goals Against / Game
1.30
32.0%
Clean Sheet %
30.8%
20.0%
Failed to Score %
44.2%
6.0%
Goalless Draws %
13.5%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,522
Current Rating
1,456
#24
World Ranking
#55
74.2%
Win as Favourite
52.5%
36.8%
Win as Underdog
24.4%
4
Longest Win Streak
8
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
14
1542 (2026)
Peak Rating
1519 (1997)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-7L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

60.0% 22.4% 17.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 19 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
12.0%
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
3 - 0
6.8%
0 - 0
6.5%