Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Türkiye
80.3% win probability
Predicted winner
14.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.31 - 0.42
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Türkiye

1522#23
UEFA
VS

North Macedonia

1391#112
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

80.3% 14.5% 5.2%
TUR
MKD
131
Rating Gap
2.31
Exp. Goals TUR
0.42
Exp. Goals MKD
94.8%
TUR No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 7W/1W

Türkiye won 7 of their last 10 games; North Macedonia won 1. Current form favours Türkiye.

Rating Gap 131 pts

Türkiye hold a 131-point rating edge: roughly 19.6% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

When Favourite 77% W

Türkiye win 77% of games when entering as the favoured side (23W from 30). Reliable frontrunners.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.27 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Underdog Record 8% W

North Macedonia have won 8% of games entering as underdogs (3W from 36). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
TUR Win
0
Draws
0
MKD Win
4
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
48
Games Played
78
60.4%
Win %
37.2%
1.94
Goals Per Game
1.33
1.27
Goals Against / Game
1.35
33.3%
Clean Sheet %
33.3%
18.8%
Failed to Score %
28.2%
6.2%
Goalless Draws %
7.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,522
Current Rating
1,391
#23
World Ranking
#112
76.7%
Win as Favourite
61.9%
33.3%
Win as Underdog
8.3%
4
Longest Win Streak
6
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1542 (2026)
Peak Rating
1438 (2020)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

80.3% 14.5% 5.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 01 Jun 26 AWAY
4 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
17.4%
1 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
13.4%
4 - 0
7.8%
2 - 1
7.3%
0 - 0
6.5%