Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Vietnam
98.3% win probability
Predicted winner
1.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.15 - 4.64
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
4.8
Over 2.5: 86%
Total goals

Timor-Leste

1256#210
AFC
VS

Vietnam

1517#26
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

0.2% 1.5% 98.3%
TLS
VIE
262
Rating Gap
0.15
Exp. Goals TLS
4.64
Exp. Goals VIE
1.7%
TLS No Defeat
4.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 262 pts

Vietnam hold a 262-point rating edge: roughly 39.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 2W/7W

Vietnam won 7 of their last 10 games; Timor-Leste won 2. Current form favours Vietnam.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 27pp

Vietnam keep 35.8% clean sheets vs Timor-Leste's 8.8%, a 27pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2026

Vietnam have a major tournament title to their name; Timor-Leste do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 12% W

Timor-Leste have won 12% of games entering as underdogs (10W from 86). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
TLS Win
0
Draws
1
VIE Win
0
Goals For
7
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
62
Games Played
137
12.9%
Win %
52.6%
0.81
Goals Per Game
1.70
3.08
Goals Against / Game
0.99
11.3%
Clean Sheet %
42.3%
45.2%
Failed to Score %
26.3%
3.2%
Goalless Draws %
8.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,256
Current Rating
1,517
#210
World Ranking
#26
20.0%
Win as Favourite
63.6%
11.6%
Win as Underdog
23.6%
2
Longest Win Streak
14
2
Longest Unbeaten Run
26
1331 (2014)
Peak Rating
1546 (2026)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

0.2% 1.5% 98.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 24 Jul 26NEUTRAL
0 - 7
ASEAN Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 4
16.1%
0 - 5
14.9%
0 - 3
13.9%
0 - 2
9.0%
0 - 1
3.9%
1 - 4
2.4%