Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Vietnam
42.0% win probability
Predicted winner
26.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.21 - 1.43
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Total goals

Thailand

1502#33
AFC
VS

Vietnam

1517#26
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

32.1% 26.0% 42.0%
THA
VIE
15
Rating Gap
1.21
Exp. Goals THA
1.43
Exp. Goals VIE
58.1%
THA No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 18W-6W

Thailand hold the historical edge: 18W-10D-6L across 34 meetings.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 3.27 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 49%).

Recent Form 5W/7W

Vietnam won 7 of their last 10 games; Thailand won 5. Current form favours Vietnam.

Tournament Pedigree 2026

Both teams are major tournament winners. Thailand's most recent title: 2024. Vietnam's most recent title: 2026.

Unbeaten Run 26 games

Vietnam's longest unbeaten run is 26 games vs Thailand's 21. Vietnam have shown greater resilience historically.

Penalty Shootouts 67% PSO

Shootout record: Thailand: 14W-11L; Vietnam: 2W-1L. Edge goes to Vietnam if this match reaches penalties.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

34 meeting(s) · 2021-2026

18
THA Win
10
Draws
6
VIE Win
57
Goals For
31
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
157
Games Played
137
45.2%
Win %
52.6%
1.64
Goals Per Game
1.70
1.18
Goals Against / Game
0.99
36.9%
Clean Sheet %
42.3%
23.6%
Failed to Score %
26.3%
7.0%
Goalless Draws %
8.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,502
Current Rating
1,517
#33
World Ranking
#26
56.4%
Win as Favourite
63.6%
22.1%
Win as Underdog
23.6%
9
Longest Win Streak
14
21
Longest Unbeaten Run
26
1540 (1996)
Peak Rating
1546 (2026)
14W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

32.1% 26.0% 42.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 29 Sep 26NEUTRAL
2 - 0
FIFA Asean Cup
D 26 Aug 26
2 - 2
ASEAN Championship
A 22 Aug 26
0 - 2
ASEAN Championship
A 05 Jan 25
2 - 3
ASEAN Championship
H 02 Jan 25
2 - 1
ASEAN Championship
A 10 Sep 24
1 - 2
Friendly
H 16 Jan 23
1 - 0
ASEAN Championship
D 13 Jan 23
2 - 2
ASEAN Championship
D 26 Dec 21NEUTRAL
0 - 0
ASEAN Championship
A 23 Dec 21NEUTRAL
0 - 2
ASEAN Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 0
8.6%
2 - 1
7.5%
0 - 2
7.3%