Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Thailand
80.6% win probability
Predicted winner
13.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.47 - 0.50
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 57%
Total goals

Thailand

1502#33
AFC
VS

Singapore

1379#127
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

80.6% 13.8% 5.7%
THA
SGP
123
Rating Gap
2.47
Exp. Goals THA
0.50
Exp. Goals SGP
94.4%
THA No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 43W-12W

Thailand hold the historical edge: 43W-17D-12L across 72 meetings.

Rating Gap 123 pts

Thailand hold a 123-point rating edge: roughly 18.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/4W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Thailand 5/10, Singapore 4/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Thailand's most recent title: 2024. Singapore's most recent title: 2006.

Goal Patterns 3.0 xG

Combined avg of 2.94 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.0 (Over 2.5 probability: 57%).

Underdog Record 20% W

Singapore have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (102W from 502). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

72 meeting(s) · 2015-2026

43
THA Win
17
Draws
12
SGP Win
137
Goals For
71
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
157
Games Played
129
45.2%
Win %
33.3%
1.64
Goals Per Game
1.18
1.18
Goals Against / Game
1.81
36.9%
Clean Sheet %
20.2%
23.6%
Failed to Score %
31.0%
7.0%
Goalless Draws %
6.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,502
Current Rating
1,379
#33
World Ranking
#127
56.4%
Win as Favourite
56.9%
22.1%
Win as Underdog
20.3%
9
Longest Win Streak
9
21
Longest Unbeaten Run
14
1540 (1996)
Peak Rating
1455 (1996)
14W-11L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-10L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

80.6% 13.8% 5.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 18 Aug 26
1 - 2
ASEAN Championship
A 15 Aug 26
1 - 3
ASEAN Championship
H 13 Nov 25
3 - 2
Friendly
A 17 Dec 24
2 - 4
ASEAN Championship
H 11 Jun 24
3 - 1
FIFA World Cup
A 21 Nov 23
1 - 3
FIFA World Cup
H 18 Dec 21
2 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 25 Nov 18
3 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 22 Nov 16NEUTRAL
1 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 26 Mar 15
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
12.6%
4 - 0
7.9%
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
6.5%