Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Thailand
44.9% win probability
Predicted winner
25.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.53 - 1.20
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Thailand

1470#41
AFC
VS

Malaysia

1435#66
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

44.9% 25.3% 29.9%
THA
MAS
35
Rating Gap
1.53
Exp. Goals THA
1.20
Exp. Goals MAS
70.2%
THA No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Balanced Rivalry Tight

The 96-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 28W for Thailand, 39W for Malaysia, 29 draws. Never count either side out.

Recent Form 6W/7W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Thailand 6/10, Malaysia 7/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.13 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 51%).

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Thailand's most recent title: 2024. Malaysia's most recent title: 2024.

Underdog Record 22% W

Malaysia have won 22% of games entering as underdogs (86W from 390). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 21 games

Thailand's longest unbeaten run is 21 games vs Malaysia's 16. Thailand have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

96 meeting(s) · 2014-2024

28
THA Win
29
Draws
39
MAS Win
123
Goals For
129
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
145
Games Played
132
44.1%
Win %
47.0%
1.61
Goals Per Game
1.70
1.20
Goals Against / Game
1.30
35.9%
Clean Sheet %
29.5%
24.8%
Failed to Score %
30.3%
7.6%
Goalless Draws %
5.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,470
Current Rating
1,435
#41
World Ranking
#66
56.5%
Win as Favourite
54.6%
21.3%
Win as Underdog
22.1%
9
Longest Win Streak
6
21
Longest Unbeaten Run
16
1541 (1996)
Peak Rating
1495 (1977)
12W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
9W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

44.9% 25.3% 29.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 14 Dec 24 AWAY
1 - 0
AFF Championship
H 10 Jan 23 AWAY
3 - 0
AFF Championship
H 07 Jan 23 AWAY
1 - 0
AFF Championship
D 22 Sep 22 AWAY
1 - 1
King's Cup
A 15 Jun 21 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup
H 14 Nov 19 AWAY
2 - 1
FIFA World Cup
D 05 Dec 18 AWAY
2 - 2
AFF Championship
D 01 Dec 18 AWAY
0 - 0
AFF Championship
H 20 Dec 14 AWAY
3 - 2
AFF Championship
H 17 Dec 14 AWAY
2 - 0
AFF Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.2%
0 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
7.6%
1 - 2
7.2%