Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Thailand
64.8% win probability
Predicted winner
21.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.87 - 0.72
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals

Thailand

1470#46
AFC
VS

Kuwait

1368#139
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

64.8% 21.5% 13.7%
THA
KUW
103
Rating Gap
1.87
Exp. Goals THA
0.72
Exp. Goals KUW
86.3%
THA No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/2W

Thailand won 6 of their last 10 games; Kuwait won 2. Current form favours Thailand.

Rating Gap 103 pts

Thailand hold a 103-point rating edge: roughly 15.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 3.15 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 48%).

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Thailand's most recent title: 2024. Kuwait's most recent title: 2010.

Underdog Record 27% W

Kuwait have won 27% of games entering as underdogs (82W from 306). A strong record against the odds.

When Favourite 56% W

Thailand win 56% of games when entering as the favoured side (252W from 447). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

12 meeting(s) · 1981-2026

4
THA Win
2
Draws
6
KUW Win
18
Goals For
29
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
145
Games Played
111
44.1%
Win %
30.6%
1.61
Goals Per Game
1.27
1.20
Goals Against / Game
1.32
35.9%
Clean Sheet %
29.7%
24.8%
Failed to Score %
36.9%
7.6%
Goalless Draws %
9.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,470
Current Rating
1,368
#46
World Ranking
#139
56.4%
Win as Favourite
52.3%
21.4%
Win as Underdog
26.8%
9
Longest Win Streak
6
21
Longest Unbeaten Run
22
1541 (1996)
Peak Rating
1557 (1998)
12W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-7L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

64.8% 21.5% 13.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 05 Jun 26 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly
D 25 May 14 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly
H 19 Nov 13 AWAY
3 - 1
AFC Asian Cup
A 06 Feb 13 AWAY
1 - 3
AFC Asian Cup
H 23 Jan 01 AWAY
5 - 4
Friendly
H 30 Sep 00 AWAY
3 - 2
Friendly
A 16 Dec 98 AWAY
0 - 3
Asian Games
H 17 Apr 97 AWAY
3 - 1
Friendly
H 27 Sep 90 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
Asian Games
H 22 Apr 81 AWAY
6 - 0
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
3 - 0
8.2%
0 - 0
7.5%