Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Tanzania
92.4% win probability
Predicted winner
6.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.96 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.1
Over 2.5: 60%
Total goals

Tanzania

1375#127
CAF
VS

Liechtenstein

1183#218
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

92.4% 6.7% 0.9%
TAN
LIE
192
Rating Gap
2.96
Exp. Goals TAN
0.15
Exp. Goals LIE
99.1%
TAN No Defeat
3.1
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 192 pts

Tanzania hold a 192-point rating edge: roughly 28.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 3.1 xG

Combined avg of 1.47 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.1 (Over 2.5 probability: 60%).

Clean Sheet Rate 17pp

Tanzania keep 28.3% clean sheets vs Liechtenstein's 10.8%, a 17pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2010

Tanzania have a major tournament title to their name; Liechtenstein do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 6% W

Liechtenstein have won 6% of games entering as underdogs (14W from 244). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
TAN Win
0
Draws
1
LIE Win
0
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
125
Games Played
95
28.8%
Win %
6.3%
0.82
Goals Per Game
0.35
1.03
Goals Against / Game
2.75
32.8%
Clean Sheet %
8.4%
44.8%
Failed to Score %
72.6%
12.0%
Goalless Draws %
4.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,375
Current Rating
1,183
#127
World Ranking
#218
37.1%
Win as Favourite
37.5%
24.5%
Win as Underdog
5.7%
6
Longest Win Streak
2
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
3
1438 (2009)
Peak Rating
1335 (1993)
8W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

92.4% 6.7% 0.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 26 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
19.6%
3 - 0
19.3%
4 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.2%
5 - 0
8.4%
0 - 0
4.5%