Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Syria
91.7% win probability
Predicted winner
7.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.86 - 0.15
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 58%
Total goals

Syria

1451#57
AFC
VS

Afghanistan

1284#197
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

91.7% 7.3% 1.0%
SYR
AFG
167
Rating Gap
2.86
Exp. Goals SYR
0.15
Exp. Goals AFG
99.0%
SYR No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/1W

Syria won 6 of their last 10 games; Afghanistan won 1. Current form favours Syria.

Rating Gap 167 pts

Syria hold a 167-point rating edge: roughly 25.1% extra win probability on ratings alone.

H2H Dominance 6W-0W

Syria hold the historical edge: 6W-0D-0L across 6 meetings.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Syria's most recent title: 2024. Afghanistan's most recent title: 2013.

Underdog Record 7% W

Afghanistan have won 7% of games entering as underdogs (5W from 73). A strong record against the odds.

Rating Trajectory +26 pts

Syria are gaining momentum recently (+26 pts). Afghanistan have moved -41 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

6 meeting(s) · 2007-2026

6
SYR Win
0
Draws
0
AFG Win
22
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
136
Games Played
80
36.8%
Win %
20.0%
1.38
Goals Per Game
0.72
1.27
Goals Against / Game
1.85
33.1%
Clean Sheet %
20.0%
30.9%
Failed to Score %
42.5%
5.9%
Goalless Draws %
10.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,451
Current Rating
1,284
#57
World Ranking
#197
53.2%
Win as Favourite
38.4%
21.0%
Win as Underdog
6.8%
6
Longest Win Streak
5
10
Longest Unbeaten Run
7
1498 (2009)
Peak Rating
1435 (2014)
6W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

91.7% 7.3% 1.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
5 - 1
AFC Asian Cup
A 10 Jun 25 NEUTRAL
0 - 1
AFC Asian Cup
H 13 Oct 15 NEUTRAL
5 - 2
FIFA World Cup
A 11 Jun 15 NEUTRAL
0 - 6
FIFA World Cup
A 26 Oct 07 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
FIFA World Cup
H 08 Oct 07 AWAY
3 - 0
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
20.2%
3 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
14.1%
4 - 0
13.7%
5 - 0
7.8%
0 - 0
5.0%