Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Romania
40.6% win probability
Predicted winner
26.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.24 - 1.40
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Total goals

Slovakia

1419#86
UEFA
VS

Romania

1427#73
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

33.3% 26.1% 40.6%
SVK
ROU
8
Rating Gap
1.24
Exp. Goals SVK
1.40
Exp. Goals ROU
59.4%
SVK No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 5W-2W

Romania hold the historical edge: 5W-6D-2L across 13 meetings.

Recent Form 6W/4W

Slovakia won 6 of their last 10 games; Romania won 4. Current form favours Slovakia.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 3.02 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 49%).

Tournament Pedigree 2018

Both teams are major tournament winners. Slovakia's most recent title: 2018. Romania's most recent title: 1977.

Unbeaten Run 17 games

Romania's longest unbeaten run is 17 games vs Slovakia's 12. Romania have shown greater resilience historically.

Penalty Shootouts 100% PSO

Shootout record: Slovakia: 2W-0L; Romania: 2W-3L. Edge goes to Slovakia if this match reaches penalties.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

13 meeting(s) · 1994-2026

2
SVK Win
6
Draws
5
ROU Win
15
Goals For
21
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
115
Games Played
109
41.7%
Win %
42.2%
1.37
Goals Per Game
1.50
1.17
Goals Against / Game
1.12
33.9%
Clean Sheet %
34.9%
28.7%
Failed to Score %
30.3%
8.7%
Goalless Draws %
11.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,419
Current Rating
1,427
#86
World Ranking
#73
56.6%
Win as Favourite
52.9%
26.2%
Win as Underdog
31.1%
9
Longest Win Streak
8
12
Longest Unbeaten Run
17
1482 (2016)
Peak Rating
1542 (1998)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

33.3% 26.1% 40.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly
D 26 Jun 24 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
UEFA European Championship
D 14 Aug 13 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly
D 09 Feb 05 NEUTRAL
2 - 2
Friendly
H 12 Feb 03 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
Friendly Tournament
D 25 Apr 01 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
A 04 Sep 99 AWAY
1 - 5
UEFA European Championship
D 27 Mar 99 AWAY
0 - 0
UEFA European Championship
A 15 Nov 95 AWAY
0 - 2
UEFA European Championship
H 12 Nov 94 AWAY
3 - 2
UEFA European Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.7%
0 - 0
7.1%