Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Kosovo
46.6% win probability
Predicted winner
26.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.08 - 1.48
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 47%
Total goals

Slovakia

1419#86
UEFA
VS

Kosovo

1461#50
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

27.5% 26.0% 46.6%
SVK
KOS
42
Rating Gap
1.08
Exp. Goals SVK
1.48
Exp. Goals KOS
53.5%
SVK No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 6W/5W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Slovakia 6/10, Kosovo 5/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2018

Slovakia have a major tournament title to their name; Kosovo do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 26% W

Slovakia have won 26% of games entering as underdogs (54W from 206). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 2.80 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 47%).

Rating Gap 42 pts

Kosovo hold a 42-point rating edge: roughly 6.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
SVK Win
0
Draws
1
KOS Win
3
Goals For
4
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
115
Games Played
97
41.7%
Win %
40.2%
1.37
Goals Per Game
1.42
1.17
Goals Against / Game
1.31
33.9%
Clean Sheet %
30.9%
28.7%
Failed to Score %
28.9%
8.7%
Goalless Draws %
5.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,419
Current Rating
1,461
#86
World Ranking
#50
56.6%
Win as Favourite
58.8%
26.2%
Win as Underdog
21.2%
9
Longest Win Streak
5
12
Longest Unbeaten Run
15
1482 (2016)
Peak Rating
1486 (2026)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

27.5% 26.0% 46.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 26 Mar 26 AWAY
3 - 4
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 2
8.5%
1 - 0
8.3%
0 - 0
7.7%