Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Germany
50.7% win probability
Predicted winner
23.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.15 - 1.72
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 55%
Total goals

Switzerland

1547#18
UEFA
VS

Germany

1560#13
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

25.5% 23.8% 50.7%
SUI
GER
13
Rating Gap
1.15
Exp. Goals SUI
1.72
Exp. Goals GER
49.3%
SUI No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/9W

Germany won 9 of their last 10 games; Switzerland won 4. Current form favours Germany.

H2H Dominance 6W-1W

Germany hold the historical edge: 6W-4D-1L across 11 meetings.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.72 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 55%).

Clean Sheet Rate 13pp

Germany keep 37.5% clean sheets vs Switzerland's 24.5%, a 13pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2017

Germany have a major tournament title to their name; Switzerland do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Unbeaten Run 22 games

Germany's longest unbeaten run is 22 games vs Switzerland's 15. Germany have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

11 meeting(s) · 1995-2026

1
SUI Win
4
Draws
6
GER Win
16
Goals For
28
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
124
Games Played
133
46.8%
Win %
56.4%
1.78
Goals Per Game
2.29
1.06
Goals Against / Game
1.09
33.9%
Clean Sheet %
34.6%
19.4%
Failed to Score %
14.3%
6.5%
Goalless Draws %
3.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,547
Current Rating
1,560
#18
World Ranking
#13
55.7%
Win as Favourite
64.7%
24.9%
Win as Underdog
35.7%
10
Longest Win Streak
11
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
22
1547 (2026)
Peak Rating
1676 (2014)
1W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

25.5% 23.8% 50.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 27 Mar 26 AWAY
3 - 4
Friendly
D 23 Jun 24 AWAY
1 - 1
UEFA European Championship
D 13 Oct 20 AWAY
3 - 3
UEFA Nations League
D 06 Sep 20 AWAY
1 - 1
UEFA Nations League
H 26 May 12 AWAY
5 - 3
Friendly
A 26 Mar 08 AWAY
0 - 4
Friendly
H 07 Feb 07 AWAY
3 - 1
Friendly
A 02 Jun 04 AWAY
0 - 2
Friendly
D 26 Apr 00 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly
A 23 Jun 95 AWAY
1 - 2
Friendly Tournament

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
8.4%
1 - 0
6.5%
2 - 1
6.5%