Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Colombia
44.5% win probability
Predicted winner
26.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.10 - 1.43
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 47%
Total goals

Switzerland

1568#14
UEFA
VS

Colombia

1584#10
CONMEBOL
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

29.1% 26.4% 44.5%
SUI
COL
16
Rating Gap
1.10
Exp. Goals SUI
1.43
Exp. Goals COL
55.5%
SUI No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Clean Sheet Rate 16pp

Colombia keep 41.0% clean sheets vs Switzerland's 24.7%, a 16pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 4W/6W

Colombia won 6 of their last 10 games; Switzerland won 4. Current form favours Colombia.

Tournament Pedigree 2001

Colombia have a major tournament title to their name; Switzerland do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goalless Draw Risk 12% 0-0

12.4% of Colombia's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Unbeaten Run 28 games

Colombia's longest unbeaten run is 28 games vs Switzerland's 15. Colombia have shown greater resilience historically.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 2.78 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 47%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

5 meeting(s) · 1985-2026

1
SUI Win
2
Draws
2
COL Win
6
Goals For
9
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
126
Games Played
129
46.8%
Win %
51.2%
1.77
Goals Per Game
1.52
1.05
Goals Against / Game
0.84
34.9%
Clean Sheet %
49.6%
19.8%
Failed to Score %
25.6%
7.1%
Goalless Draws %
17.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,568
Current Rating
1,584
#14
World Ranking
#10
55.7%
Win as Favourite
50.9%
25.0%
Win as Underdog
29.8%
10
Longest Win Streak
10
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
28
1568 (2026)
Peak Rating
1603 (2024)
2W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

29.1% 26.4% 44.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 07 Jul 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
FIFA World Cup
H 25 Mar 07 NEUTRAL
3 - 1
Friendly
A 26 Jun 94 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
FIFA World Cup
H 03 Feb 91 NEUTRAL
3 - 2
Friendly Tournament
D 01 Feb 85 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
0 - 2
8.1%
0 - 0
7.9%