Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Australia
59.3% win probability
Predicted winner
21.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.97 - 1.91
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 55%
Total goals

Switzerland

1520#24
UEFA
VS

Australia

1566#11
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

18.7% 21.9% 59.3%
SUI
AUS
47
Rating Gap
0.97
Exp. Goals SUI
1.91
Exp. Goals AUS
40.6%
SUI No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.50 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 55%).

Clean Sheet Rate 16pp

Australia keep 40.3% clean sheets vs Switzerland's 24.6%, a 16pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 4W/5W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Switzerland 4/10, Australia 5/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2013

Australia have a major tournament title to their name; Switzerland do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 25% W

Switzerland have won 25% of games entering as underdogs (141W from 569). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2010-2026

0
SUI Win
2
Draws
0
AUS Win
1
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
122
Games Played
122
45.9%
Win %
60.7%
1.76
Goals Per Game
2.11
1.07
Goals Against / Game
0.77
34.4%
Clean Sheet %
49.2%
19.7%
Failed to Score %
17.2%
6.6%
Goalless Draws %
5.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,520
Current Rating
1,566
#24
World Ranking
#11
55.3%
Win as Favourite
59.6%
24.8%
Win as Underdog
31.3%
10
Longest Win Streak
14
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
20
1538 (2018)
Peak Rating
1586 (2001)
1W-6L
Penalty Shootouts
5W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

18.7% 21.9% 59.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
Friendly
D 03 Sep 10 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 1
10.4%
0 - 2
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 3
6.5%
1 - 3
6.3%