Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Saudi Arabia
44.6% win probability
Predicted winner
26.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.05 - 1.39
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 44%
Total goals

Serbia

1427#72
UEFA
VS

Saudi Arabia

1456#54
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

28.5% 26.9% 44.6%
SRB
KSA
29
Rating Gap
1.05
Exp. Goals SRB
1.39
Exp. Goals KSA
55.4%
SRB No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 4W/2W

Serbia won 4 of their last 10 games; Saudi Arabia won 2. Current form favours Serbia.

Tournament Pedigree 2005

Saudi Arabia have a major tournament title to their name; Serbia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 3.00 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 44%).

Unbeaten Run 19 games

Saudi Arabia's longest unbeaten run is 19 games vs Serbia's 10. Saudi Arabia have shown greater resilience historically.

Rating Gap 29 pts

Saudi Arabia hold a 29-point rating edge: roughly 4.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
SRB Win
0
Draws
0
KSA Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
115
Games Played
171
46.1%
Win %
44.4%
1.54
Goals Per Game
1.36
1.19
Goals Against / Game
1.01
30.4%
Clean Sheet %
42.7%
26.1%
Failed to Score %
29.2%
7.8%
Goalless Draws %
11.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,427
Current Rating
1,456
#72
World Ranking
#54
60.3%
Win as Favourite
55.6%
23.3%
Win as Underdog
27.2%
5
Longest Win Streak
11
10
Longest Unbeaten Run
19
1537 (2022)
Peak Rating
1577 (2002)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

28.5% 26.9% 44.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 Mar 26 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.2%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 0
8.7%
0 - 2
8.4%