Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Saint Kitts and Nevis
38.1% win probability
Predicted winner
24.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.52 - 1.51
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 59%
Total goals

Saint Kitts and Nevis

1341#157
CONCACAF
VS

Solomon Islands

1330#165
OFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

38.1% 24.1% 37.7%
SKN
SOL
11
Rating Gap
1.52
Exp. Goals SKN
1.51
Exp. Goals SOL
62.2%
SKN No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Goal Patterns 3.0 xG

Combined avg of 3.86 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.0 (Over 2.5 probability: 59%).

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Saint Kitts and Nevis 3/10, Solomon Islands 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2023

Solomon Islands have a major tournament title to their name; Saint Kitts and Nevis do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Trajectory -10 pts

Saint Kitts and Nevis are gaining momentum recently (-10 pts). Solomon Islands have moved -74 pts in the same window.

Penalty Shootouts 50% PSO

Shootout record: Saint Kitts and Nevis: 2W-2L; Solomon Islands: 0W-2L. Edge goes to Saint Kitts and Nevis if this match reaches penalties.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
SKN Win
0
Draws
0
SOL Win
4
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
89
Games Played
71
40.4%
Win %
40.8%
1.44
Goals Per Game
1.87
1.53
Goals Against / Game
1.51
33.7%
Clean Sheet %
29.6%
36.0%
Failed to Score %
29.6%
6.7%
Goalless Draws %
2.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,341
Current Rating
1,330
#157
World Ranking
#165
50.7%
Win as Favourite
57.7%
25.3%
Win as Underdog
24.2%
5
Longest Win Streak
7
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
9
1450 (2016)
Peak Rating
1490 (2004)
2W-2L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

38.1% 24.1% 37.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 30 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
4 - 2
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 0
7.3%
0 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
6.4%