Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Singapore
87.9% win probability
Predicted winner
9.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.78 - 0.32
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.1
Over 2.5: 60%
Total goals

Singapore

1399#105
AFC
VS

Timor-Leste

1256#209
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

87.9% 9.6% 2.6%
SGP
TLS
143
Rating Gap
2.78
Exp. Goals SGP
0.32
Exp. Goals TLS
97.5%
SGP No Defeat
3.1
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/2W

Singapore won 6 of their last 10 games; Timor-Leste won 2. Current form favours Singapore.

Rating Gap 143 pts

Singapore hold a 143-point rating edge: roughly 21.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 4 games

Only 4 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 16pp

Singapore keep 23.7% clean sheets vs Timor-Leste's 8.0%, a 16pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2006

Singapore have a major tournament title to their name; Timor-Leste do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 11% W

Timor-Leste have won 11% of games entering as underdogs (9W from 83). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

4 meeting(s) · 2018-2026

4
SGP Win
0
Draws
0
TLS Win
13
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
126
Games Played
59
33.3%
Win %
11.9%
1.20
Goals Per Game
0.80
1.79
Goals Against / Game
3.17
19.8%
Clean Sheet %
10.2%
30.2%
Failed to Score %
45.8%
6.3%
Goalless Draws %
3.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,399
Current Rating
1,256
#105
World Ranking
#209
57.9%
Win as Favourite
20.0%
20.5%
Win as Underdog
10.8%
9
Longest Win Streak
2
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
2
1459 (1996)
Peak Rating
1329 (2014)
7W-9L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

87.9% 9.6% 2.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Jul 26 AWAY
2 - 0
AFF Championship
A 14 Dec 24 NEUTRAL
0 - 3
AFF Championship
H 14 Dec 21 AWAY
2 - 0
AFF Championship
H 21 Nov 18 AWAY
6 - 1
AFF Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
12.5%
4 - 0
11.2%
5 - 0
6.2%
2 - 1
5.6%