Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Thailand
80.6% win probability
Predicted winner
13.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.50 - 2.47
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 57%
Total goals

Singapore

1379#127
AFC
VS

Thailand

1502#33
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

5.7% 13.8% 80.6%
SGP
THA
123
Rating Gap
0.50
Exp. Goals SGP
2.47
Exp. Goals THA
19.5%
SGP No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 43W-12W

Thailand hold the historical edge: 43W-17D-12L across 72 meetings.

Rating Gap 123 pts

Thailand hold a 123-point rating edge: roughly 18.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 4W/5W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Singapore 4/10, Thailand 5/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Singapore's most recent title: 2006. Thailand's most recent title: 2024.

Goal Patterns 3.0 xG

Combined avg of 2.94 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 3.0 (Over 2.5 probability: 57%).

Underdog Record 20% W

Singapore have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (102W from 502). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

72 meeting(s) · 2015-2026

12
SGP Win
17
Draws
43
THA Win
71
Goals For
137
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
129
Games Played
157
33.3%
Win %
45.2%
1.18
Goals Per Game
1.64
1.81
Goals Against / Game
1.18
20.2%
Clean Sheet %
36.9%
31.0%
Failed to Score %
23.6%
6.2%
Goalless Draws %
7.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,379
Current Rating
1,502
#127
World Ranking
#33
56.9%
Win as Favourite
56.4%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
22.1%
9
Longest Win Streak
9
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
21
1455 (1996)
Peak Rating
1540 (1996)
7W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
14W-11L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

5.7% 13.8% 80.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 18 Aug 26
1 - 2
ASEAN Championship
A 15 Aug 26
1 - 3
ASEAN Championship
H 13 Nov 25
3 - 2
Friendly
A 17 Dec 24
2 - 4
ASEAN Championship
H 11 Jun 24
3 - 1
FIFA World Cup
A 21 Nov 23
1 - 3
FIFA World Cup
H 18 Dec 21
2 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 25 Nov 18
3 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 22 Nov 16NEUTRAL
1 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 26 Mar 15
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 3
12.8%
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 4
7.9%
1 - 2
7.8%
1 - 3
6.5%