Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Singapore
73.5% win probability
Predicted winner
17.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.25 - 0.66
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 56%
Total goals

Singapore

1383#119
AFC
VS

Mongolia

1280#201
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

73.5% 17.1% 9.4%
SGP
MNG
103
Rating Gap
2.25
Exp. Goals SGP
0.66
Exp. Goals MNG
90.6%
SGP No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/2W

Singapore won 5 of their last 10 games; Mongolia won 2. Current form favours Singapore.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 103 pts

Singapore hold a 103-point rating edge: roughly 15.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 2006

Singapore have a major tournament title to their name; Mongolia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 13% W

Mongolia have won 13% of games entering as underdogs (7W from 53). A strong record against the odds.

Unbeaten Run 14 games

Singapore's longest unbeaten run is 14 games vs Mongolia's 3. Singapore have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2018-2026

2
SGP Win
0
Draws
0
MNG Win
6
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
120
Games Played
61
32.5%
Win %
23.0%
1.19
Goals Per Game
0.97
1.83
Goals Against / Game
2.16
19.2%
Clean Sheet %
21.3%
30.8%
Failed to Score %
52.5%
5.8%
Goalless Draws %
3.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,383
Current Rating
1,280
#119
World Ranking
#201
57.7%
Win as Favourite
31.1%
20.1%
Win as Underdog
13.2%
9
Longest Win Streak
2
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
3
1457 (1996)
Peak Rating
1391 (1998)
7W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

73.5% 17.1% 9.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 31 May 26 AWAY
4 - 0
Friendly
H 12 Oct 18 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
6.8%