Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Indonesia
57.1% win probability
Predicted winner
22.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.04 - 1.89
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 56%
Total goals

Singapore

1379#127
AFC
VS

Indonesia

1432#77
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

20.6% 22.3% 57.1%
SGP
IDN
53
Rating Gap
1.04
Exp. Goals SGP
1.89
Exp. Goals IDN
42.9%
SGP No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/6W

Indonesia won 6 of their last 10 games; Singapore won 4. Current form favours Indonesia.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.06 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 56%).

Tournament Pedigree 2026

Both teams are major tournament winners. Singapore's most recent title: 2006. Indonesia's most recent title: 2026.

Rating Gap 53 pts

Indonesia hold a 53-point rating edge: roughly 7.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 20% W

Singapore have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (102W from 502). A strong record against the odds.

When Favourite 61% W

Indonesia win 61% of games when entering as the favoured side (222W from 365). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

62 meeting(s) · 2007-2026

19
SGP Win
14
Draws
29
IDN Win
72
Goals For
118
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
129
Games Played
130
33.3%
Win %
40.0%
1.18
Goals Per Game
1.70
1.81
Goals Against / Game
1.58
20.2%
Clean Sheet %
33.8%
31.0%
Failed to Score %
31.5%
6.2%
Goalless Draws %
9.2%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,379
Current Rating
1,432
#127
World Ranking
#77
56.9%
Win as Favourite
60.8%
20.3%
Win as Underdog
19.0%
9
Longest Win Streak
10
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1455 (1996)
Peak Rating
1505 (1969)
7W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
11W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

20.6% 22.3% 57.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 25 Sep 26
2 - 0
FIFA Asean Cup
D 07 Aug 26
1 - 1
ASEAN Championship
H 25 Dec 21
4 - 2
ASEAN Championship
D 22 Dec 21
1 - 1
ASEAN Championship
H 09 Nov 18
1 - 0
ASEAN Championship
A 25 Nov 16NEUTRAL
1 - 2
ASEAN Championship
H 28 Nov 12NEUTRAL
1 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 04 Nov 09
3 - 1
Friendly
A 09 Dec 08
0 - 2
ASEAN Championship
D 17 Jan 07
2 - 2
ASEAN Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
10.5%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.5%
1 - 3
6.2%
0 - 3
6.0%