Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Indonesia
48.9% win probability
Predicted winner
23.9%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.21 - 1.70
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 56%
Total goals

Singapore

1383#118
AFC
VS

Indonesia

1409#96
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

27.2% 23.9% 48.9%
SGP
IDN
26
Rating Gap
1.21
Exp. Goals SGP
1.70
Exp. Goals IDN
51.1%
SGP No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Balanced Rivalry Tight

The 59-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 19W for Singapore, 27W for Indonesia, 13 draws. Never count either side out.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.06 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 56%).

Tournament Pedigree 2006

Both teams are major tournament winners. Singapore's most recent title: 2006. Indonesia's most recent title: 1991.

Rating Gap 26 pts

Indonesia hold a 26-point rating edge: roughly 3.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Penalty Shootouts 77% PSO

Shootout record: Singapore: 7W-10L; Indonesia: 10W-3L. Edge goes to Indonesia if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Trajectory +34 pts

Singapore are gaining momentum recently (+34 pts). Indonesia have moved -7 pts in the same window.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

59 meeting(s) · 2005-2021

19
SGP Win
13
Draws
27
IDN Win
71
Goals For
112
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
120
Games Played
123
32.5%
Win %
39.0%
1.19
Goals Per Game
1.62
1.83
Goals Against / Game
1.64
19.2%
Clean Sheet %
33.3%
30.8%
Failed to Score %
32.5%
5.8%
Goalless Draws %
8.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,383
Current Rating
1,409
#118
World Ranking
#96
57.7%
Win as Favourite
61.3%
20.1%
Win as Underdog
18.9%
9
Longest Win Streak
10
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1455 (1996)
Peak Rating
1498 (1969)
7W-10L
Penalty Shootouts
10W-3L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

27.2% 23.9% 48.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 25 Dec 21 AWAY
4 - 2
AFF Championship
D 22 Dec 21 AWAY
1 - 1
AFF Championship
H 09 Nov 18 AWAY
1 - 0
AFF Championship
A 25 Nov 16 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
AFF Championship
H 28 Nov 12 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
AFF Championship
H 04 Nov 09 AWAY
3 - 1
Friendly
A 09 Dec 08 AWAY
0 - 2
AFF Championship
D 17 Jan 07 AWAY
2 - 2
AFF Championship
A 11 Nov 06 AWAY
1 - 2
Friendly
H 16 Jan 05 AWAY
2 - 1
AFF Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.3%
0 - 2
7.9%
2 - 1
6.8%
1 - 0
6.6%