Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Brazil
80.1% win probability
Predicted winner
14.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.45 - 2.35
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Total goals

Scotland

1462#48
UEFA
VS

Brazil

1588#8
CONMEBOL
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

5.5% 14.4% 80.1%
SCO
BRA
126
Rating Gap
0.45
Exp. Goals SCO
2.35
Exp. Goals BRA
19.9%
SCO No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 9W-0W

Brazil hold the historical edge: 9W-2D-0L across 11 meetings.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 3.86 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 53%).

Rating Gap 126 pts

Brazil hold a 126-point rating edge: roughly 18.8% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 13pp

Brazil keep 45.1% clean sheets vs Scotland's 31.9%, a 13pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

When Favourite 66% W

Brazil win 66% of games when entering as the favoured side (625W from 954). Reliable frontrunners.

Recent Form 5W/6W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Scotland 5/10, Brazil 6/10. A closely contested match is expected.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

11 meeting(s) · 1972-2026

0
SCO Win
2
Draws
9
BRA Win
3
Goals For
19
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
109
Games Played
127
44.0%
Win %
63.8%
1.39
Goals Per Game
2.05
1.29
Goals Against / Game
0.62
34.9%
Clean Sheet %
54.3%
29.4%
Failed to Score %
15.7%
4.6%
Goalless Draws %
7.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,462
Current Rating
1,588
#48
World Ranking
#8
61.1%
Win as Favourite
65.5%
28.2%
Win as Underdog
41.8%
13
Longest Win Streak
14
22
Longest Unbeaten Run
36
1510 (1977)
Peak Rating
1673 (1997)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
8W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

5.5% 14.4% 80.1%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 24 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 3
FIFA World Cup
A 27 Mar 11 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
Friendly
H 10 Jun 98 NEUTRAL
2 - 1
FIFA World Cup
H 20 Jun 90 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
FIFA World Cup
A 26 May 87 AWAY
0 - 2
Friendly Tournament
H 18 Jun 82 NEUTRAL
4 - 1
FIFA World Cup
H 23 Jun 77 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly
D 18 Jun 74 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
FIFA World Cup
A 30 Jun 73 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly
H 05 Jul 72 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly Tournament

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
16.7%
0 - 1
14.2%
0 - 3
13.1%
0 - 4
7.7%
1 - 2
7.6%
1 - 1
6.5%