Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Russia
81.7% win probability
Predicted winner
13.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.36 - 0.39
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Total goals

Russia

1512#34
UEFA
VS

Trinidad & Tobago

1378#124
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

81.7% 13.8% 4.6%
RUS
TRI
134
Rating Gap
2.36
Exp. Goals RUS
0.39
Exp. Goals TRI
95.5%
RUS No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 6W/1W

Russia won 6 of their last 10 games; Trinidad & Tobago won 1. Current form favours Russia.

Rating Gap 134 pts

Russia hold a 134-point rating edge: roughly 20.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 10pp

Russia keep 41.7% clean sheets vs Trinidad & Tobago's 31.6%, a 10pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 3.45 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 52%).

Tournament Pedigree 2001

Trinidad & Tobago have a major tournament title to their name; Russia do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
RUS Win
0
Draws
0
TRI Win
3
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
100
Games Played
142
48.0%
Win %
31.0%
1.98
Goals Per Game
1.46
1.07
Goals Against / Game
1.68
42.0%
Clean Sheet %
25.4%
23.0%
Failed to Score %
34.5%
9.0%
Goalless Draws %
6.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,512
Current Rating
1,378
#34
World Ranking
#124
60.1%
Win as Favourite
51.1%
28.8%
Win as Underdog
26.3%
12
Longest Win Streak
8
23
Longest Unbeaten Run
11
1547 (1996)
Peak Rating
1547 (1996)
2W-3L
Penalty Shootouts
6W-4L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

81.7% 13.8% 4.6%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 09 Jun 26 AWAY
3 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
14.0%
4 - 0
8.3%
2 - 1
6.9%
0 - 0
6.4%