Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Cameroon
40.7% win probability
Predicted winner
28.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.01 - 1.22
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.2
Over 2.5: 38%
Total goals

South Africa

1460#57
CAF
VS

Cameroon

1490#38
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

30.6% 28.7% 40.7%
RSA
CMR
30
Rating Gap
1.01
Exp. Goals RSA
1.22
Exp. Goals CMR
59.3%
RSA No Defeat
2.2
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Underdog Record 31% W

South Africa have won 31% of games entering as underdogs (52W from 167). A strong record against the odds.

Balanced Rivalry Tight

The 10-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 3W for South Africa, 2W for Cameroon, 5 draws. Never count either side out.

Recent Form 3W/5W

Cameroon won 5 of their last 10 games; South Africa won 3. Current form favours Cameroon.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

13.2% of Cameroon's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Tournament Pedigree 2021

Both teams are major tournament winners. South Africa's most recent title: 2021. Cameroon's most recent title: 2015.

Unbeaten Run 23 games

South Africa's longest unbeaten run is 23 games vs Cameroon's 16. South Africa have shown greater resilience historically.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

10 meeting(s) · 1992-2026

3
RSA Win
5
Draws
2
CMR Win
15
Goals For
12
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
151
Games Played
144
42.4%
Win %
40.3%
1.35
Goals Per Game
1.16
0.87
Goals Against / Game
0.87
42.4%
Clean Sheet %
41.7%
29.1%
Failed to Score %
31.9%
17.2%
Goalless Draws %
15.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,460
Current Rating
1,490
#57
World Ranking
#38
51.8%
Win as Favourite
49.7%
31.1%
Win as Underdog
28.7%
7
Longest Win Streak
7
23
Longest Unbeaten Run
16
1522 (1996)
Peak Rating
1575 (2002)
12W-14L
Penalty Shootouts
9W-13L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

30.6% 28.7% 40.7%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 04 Jan 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 2
Africa Cup of Nations
D 29 Mar 16 AWAY
0 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations
D 26 Mar 16 AWAY
2 - 2
Africa Cup of Nations
D 10 Jan 15 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
Friendly
H 19 Nov 08 AWAY
3 - 2
Friendly Tournament
H 13 Jan 96 AWAY
3 - 0
Africa Cup of Nations
D 04 Dec 94 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly Tournament
D 11 Jul 92 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly
A 09 Jul 92 AWAY
1 - 2
Friendly
H 07 Jul 92 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
10.9%
0 - 0
10.8%
1 - 2
8.1%
0 - 2
8.0%