Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Switzerland
68.0% win probability
Predicted winner
20.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.65 - 1.94
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals

Qatar

1404#101
AFC
VS

Switzerland

1520#24
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

11.6% 20.4% 68.0%
QAT
SUI
116
Rating Gap
0.65
Exp. Goals QAT
1.94
Exp. Goals SUI
32.0%
QAT No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 1W/4W

Switzerland won 4 of their last 10 games; Qatar won 1. Current form favours Switzerland.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 116 pts

Switzerland hold a 116-point rating edge: roughly 17.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 9pp

Qatar keep 33.7% clean sheets vs Switzerland's 24.6%, a 9pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Qatar have a major tournament title to their name; Switzerland do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 2.90 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 48%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2018-2026

1
QAT Win
1
Draws
0
SUI Win
2
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
176
Games Played
122
48.3%
Win %
45.9%
1.60
Goals Per Game
1.76
1.18
Goals Against / Game
1.07
35.8%
Clean Sheet %
34.4%
22.7%
Failed to Score %
19.7%
5.7%
Goalless Draws %
6.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,404
Current Rating
1,520
#101
World Ranking
#24
53.2%
Win as Favourite
55.3%
27.1%
Win as Underdog
24.8%
7
Longest Win Streak
10
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
15
1563 (2019)
Peak Rating
1538 (2018)
4W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

11.6% 20.4% 68.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 13 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
FIFA World Cup
A 14 Nov 18 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
14.5%
0 - 2
14.1%
1 - 1
9.5%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 3
9.1%
0 - 0
7.5%