Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Qatar
48.1% win probability
Predicted winner
25.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.53 - 1.06
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals

Qatar

1404#101
AFC
VS

El Salvador

1376#127
CONCACAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

48.1% 25.6% 26.3%
QAT
SLV
28
Rating Gap
1.53
Exp. Goals QAT
1.06
Exp. Goals SLV
73.7%
QAT No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 3 games

Only 3 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 1W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Qatar 1/10, El Salvador 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2019

Both teams are major tournament winners. Qatar's most recent title: 2019. El Salvador's most recent title: 1954.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 2.66 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 48%).

Rating Gap 28 pts

Qatar hold a 28-point rating edge: roughly 4.2% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Penalty Shootouts 60% PSO

Shootout record: Qatar: 4W-5L; El Salvador: 3W-2L. Edge goes to El Salvador if this match reaches penalties.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

3 meeting(s) · 2021-2026

2
QAT Win
1
Draws
0
SLV Win
4
Goals For
2
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
176
Games Played
143
48.3%
Win %
33.6%
1.60
Goals Per Game
1.05
1.18
Goals Against / Game
1.20
35.8%
Clean Sheet %
34.3%
22.7%
Failed to Score %
40.6%
5.7%
Goalless Draws %
8.4%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,404
Current Rating
1,376
#101
World Ranking
#127
53.2%
Win as Favourite
53.3%
27.1%
Win as Underdog
22.3%
7
Longest Win Streak
7
11
Longest Unbeaten Run
10
1563 (2019)
Peak Rating
1519 (2021)
4W-5L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

48.1% 25.6% 26.3%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
Friendly
H 24 Jul 21 NEUTRAL
3 - 2
CONCACAF Gold Cup
H 04 Jul 21 NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.8%
0 - 1
8.0%
0 - 0
7.5%