Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Puerto Rico
78.5% win probability
Predicted winner
15.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.30 - 0.49
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Total goals

Puerto Rico

1401#105
CONCACAF
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

78.5% 15.2% 6.2%
PUR
VIR
123
Rating Gap
2.30
Exp. Goals PUR
0.49
Exp. Goals VIR
93.7%
PUR No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 123 pts

Puerto Rico hold a 123-point rating edge: roughly 18.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Puerto Rico 3/10, United States Virgin Islands 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 1.86 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 53%).

Underdog Record 7% W

United States Virgin Islands have won 7% of games entering as underdogs (5W from 71). A strong record against the odds.

When Favourite 52% W

Puerto Rico win 52% of games when entering as the favoured side (29W from 56). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
PUR Win
0
Draws
0
VIR Win
2
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
68
Games Played
47
35.3%
Win %
17.0%
1.63
Goals Per Game
0.87
1.62
Goals Against / Game
2.91
25.0%
Clean Sheet %
8.5%
44.1%
Failed to Score %
53.2%
5.9%
Goalless Draws %
2.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,401
Current Rating
1,278
#105
World Ranking
#202
51.8%
Win as Favourite
62.5%
11.8%
Win as Underdog
7.0%
6
Longest Win Streak
2
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
3
1424 (2023)
Peak Rating
1356 (2011)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-2L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

78.5% 15.2% 6.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 29 Mar 26 AWAY
2 - 0
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
16.3%
1 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
12.5%
2 - 1
7.9%
4 - 0
7.2%
1 - 1
6.9%