Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Saudi Arabia
63.0% win probability
Predicted winner
21.6%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.81 - 1.90
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Total goals

Puerto Rico

1401#105
CONCACAF
VS

Saudi Arabia

1456#54
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

15.4% 21.6% 63.0%
PUR
KSA
55
Rating Gap
0.81
Exp. Goals PUR
1.90
Exp. Goals KSA
37.0%
PUR No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 21pp

Saudi Arabia keep 40.6% clean sheets vs Puerto Rico's 19.8%, a 21pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Puerto Rico 3/10, Saudi Arabia 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2005

Saudi Arabia have a major tournament title to their name; Puerto Rico do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 55 pts

Saudi Arabia hold a 55-point rating edge: roughly 8.3% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 12% W

Puerto Rico have won 12% of games entering as underdogs (16W from 136). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
PUR Win
0
Draws
1
KSA Win
0
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
68
Games Played
171
35.3%
Win %
44.4%
1.63
Goals Per Game
1.36
1.62
Goals Against / Game
1.01
25.0%
Clean Sheet %
42.7%
44.1%
Failed to Score %
29.2%
5.9%
Goalless Draws %
11.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,401
Current Rating
1,456
#105
World Ranking
#54
51.8%
Win as Favourite
55.6%
11.8%
Win as Underdog
27.2%
6
Longest Win Streak
11
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
19
1424 (2023)
Peak Rating
1577 (2002)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
7W-5L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

15.4% 21.6% 63.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 05 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 3
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 3
7.6%
0 - 0
6.6%