Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Puerto Rico
64.2% win probability
Predicted winner
20.7%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.99 - 0.84
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.8
Over 2.5: 54%
Total goals

Puerto Rico

1401#107
CONCACAF
VS

Guam

1310#182
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

64.2% 20.7% 15.0%
PUR
GUM
92
Rating Gap
1.99
Exp. Goals PUR
0.84
Exp. Goals GUM
84.9%
PUR No Defeat
2.8
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 92 pts

Puerto Rico hold a 92-point rating edge: roughly 13.7% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Puerto Rico 3/10, Guam 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Underdog Record 14% W

Guam have won 14% of games entering as underdogs (14W from 98). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.8 xG

Combined avg of 2.37 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.8 (Over 2.5 probability: 54%).

When Favourite 52% W

Puerto Rico win 52% of games when entering as the favoured side (29W from 56). Reliable frontrunners.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
PUR Win
0
Draws
0
GUM Win
4
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
68
Games Played
46
35.3%
Win %
15.2%
1.63
Goals Per Game
0.96
1.62
Goals Against / Game
2.61
25.0%
Clean Sheet %
10.9%
44.1%
Failed to Score %
54.3%
5.9%
Goalless Draws %
0.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,401
Current Rating
1,310
#107
World Ranking
#182
51.8%
Win as Favourite
46.9%
11.8%
Win as Underdog
14.3%
6
Longest Win Streak
3
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
4
1424 (2023)
Peak Rating
1370 (2015)
2W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

64.2% 20.7% 15.0%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 25 Mar 26 AWAY
4 - 0
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
3 - 0
7.8%
3 - 1
6.5%