Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

England
81.8% win probability
Predicted winner
13.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.44 - 2.46
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 55%
Total goals

Panama

1475#38
CONCACAF
VS

England

1595#7
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

4.9% 13.3% 81.8%
PAN
ENG
120
Rating Gap
0.44
Exp. Goals PAN
2.46
Exp. Goals ENG
18.2%
PAN No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 2W/7W

England won 7 of their last 10 games; Panama won 2. Current form favours England.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 120 pts

England hold a 120-point rating edge: roughly 17.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 13pp

England keep 41.8% clean sheets vs Panama's 28.6%, a 13pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.43 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 55%).

Tournament Pedigree 2009

Both teams are major tournament winners. Panama's most recent title: 2009. England's most recent title: 1983.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2018-2026

0
PAN Win
0
Draws
2
ENG Win
1
Goals For
8
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
177
Games Played
135
41.2%
Win %
63.0%
1.37
Goals Per Game
2.07
1.29
Goals Against / Game
0.68
32.8%
Clean Sheet %
54.1%
33.9%
Failed to Score %
17.0%
7.9%
Goalless Draws %
8.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,475
Current Rating
1,595
#38
World Ranking
#7
52.1%
Win as Favourite
62.1%
23.1%
Win as Underdog
36.0%
5
Longest Win Streak
10
13
Longest Unbeaten Run
22
1536 (2025)
Peak Rating
1618 (2021)
7W-4L
Penalty Shootouts
4W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

4.9% 13.3% 81.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 27 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 2
FIFA World Cup
H 24 Jun 18 NEUTRAL
6 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
16.6%
0 - 3
13.6%
0 - 1
13.5%
0 - 4
8.4%
1 - 2
7.4%
1 - 3
6.0%