Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Panama
66.5% win probability
Predicted winner
21.3%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.87 - 0.65
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.5
Over 2.5: 46%
Total goals

Panama

1517#28
CONCACAF
VS
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

66.5% 21.3% 12.2%
PAN
BIH
110
Rating Gap
1.87
Exp. Goals PAN
0.65
Exp. Goals BIH
87.8%
PAN No Defeat
2.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 110 pts

Panama hold a 110-point rating edge: roughly 16.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 4W/2W

Panama won 4 of their last 10 games; Bosnia and Herzegovina won 2. Current form favours Panama.

Tournament Pedigree 2009

Panama have a major tournament title to their name; Bosnia and Herzegovina do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 20% W

Bosnia and Herzegovina have won 20% of games entering as underdogs (32W from 158). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.5 xG

Combined avg of 2.64 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.5 (Over 2.5 probability: 46%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
PAN Win
1
Draws
0
BIH Win
1
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
174
Games Played
101
42.0%
Win %
32.7%
1.40
Goals Per Game
1.27
1.29
Goals Against / Game
1.35
33.3%
Clean Sheet %
31.7%
32.8%
Failed to Score %
32.7%
8.0%
Goalless Draws %
10.9%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,517
Current Rating
1,407
#28
World Ranking
#99
52.6%
Win as Favourite
58.1%
23.2%
Win as Underdog
20.3%
5
Longest Win Streak
5
13
Longest Unbeaten Run
9
1536 (2025)
Peak Rating
1511 (2013)
7W-4L
Penalty Shootouts
3W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

66.5% 21.3% 12.2%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.1%
3 - 0
8.8%
0 - 0
8.1%