Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Oman
57.8% win probability
Predicted winner
24.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.61 - 0.75
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.4
Over 2.5: 42%
Total goals

Oman

1441#63
AFC
VS

Mozambique

1370#136
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

57.8% 24.8% 17.4%
OMA
MOZ
71
Rating Gap
1.61
Exp. Goals OMA
0.75
Exp. Goals MOZ
82.6%
OMA No Defeat
2.4
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Recent Form 3W/2W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Oman 3/10, Mozambique 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2017

Oman have a major tournament title to their name; Mozambique do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 71 pts

Oman hold a 71-point rating edge: roughly 10.6% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 23% W

Mozambique have won 23% of games entering as underdogs (69W from 299). A strong record against the odds.

Goal Patterns 2.4 xG

Combined avg of 2.34 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.4 (Over 2.5 probability: 42%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 1996-2026

1
OMA Win
0
Draws
1
MOZ Win
4
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
150
Games Played
125
50.7%
Win %
31.2%
1.44
Goals Per Game
1.02
0.90
Goals Against / Game
1.30
42.7%
Clean Sheet %
29.6%
26.0%
Failed to Score %
34.4%
9.3%
Goalless Draws %
8.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,441
Current Rating
1,370
#63
World Ranking
#136
57.7%
Win as Favourite
46.5%
19.9%
Win as Underdog
23.1%
7
Longest Win Streak
5
14
Longest Unbeaten Run
12
1520 (2005)
Peak Rating
1455 (2025)
5W-4L
Penalty Shootouts
14W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

57.8% 24.8% 17.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 07 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
4 - 1
Friendly Tournament
A 25 Sep 96 AWAY
0 - 2
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
0 - 1
7.1%