Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Norway
42.6% win probability
Predicted winner
24.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.57 - 1.35
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 56%
Total goals

Norway

1536#19
UEFA
VS

Switzerland

1520#24
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

42.6% 24.5% 32.9%
NOR
SUI
16
Rating Gap
1.57
Exp. Goals NOR
1.35
Exp. Goals SUI
67.1%
NOR No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Balanced Rivalry Tight

The 20-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 8W for Norway, 6W for Switzerland, 6 draws. Never count either side out.

Recent Form 6W/4W

Norway won 6 of their last 10 games; Switzerland won 4. Current form favours Norway.

Tournament Pedigree 1929

Norway have a major tournament title to their name; Switzerland do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 3.04 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 56%).

Penalty Shootouts 14% PSO

Shootout record: Norway: 0W-0L; Switzerland: 1W-6L. Edge goes to Switzerland if this match reaches penalties.

Rating Gap 16 pts

Norway hold a 16-point rating edge: roughly 2.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

20 meeting(s) · 1984-2026

8
NOR Win
6
Draws
6
SUI Win
26
Goals For
20
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
101
Games Played
122
52.5%
Win %
45.9%
1.96
Goals Per Game
1.76
1.04
Goals Against / Game
1.07
38.6%
Clean Sheet %
34.4%
18.8%
Failed to Score %
19.7%
5.0%
Goalless Draws %
6.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,536
Current Rating
1,520
#19
World Ranking
#24
56.9%
Win as Favourite
55.3%
23.7%
Win as Underdog
24.8%
9
Longest Win Streak
10
17
Longest Unbeaten Run
15
1550 (2025)
Peak Rating
1538 (2018)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
1W-6L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

42.6% 24.5% 32.9%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 31 Mar 26 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
A 10 Sep 13 AWAY
0 - 2
FIFA World Cup
D 12 Oct 12 AWAY
1 - 1
FIFA World Cup
A 14 Nov 09 AWAY
0 - 1
Friendly
A 17 Aug 05 AWAY
0 - 2
Friendly
D 29 Mar 00 AWAY
2 - 2
Friendly
H 10 Sep 97 AWAY
5 - 0
FIFA World Cup
A 10 Nov 96 AWAY
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup
D 13 Nov 85 AWAY
1 - 1
FIFA World Cup
A 12 Sep 84 AWAY
0 - 1
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.5%
1 - 2
7.7%
0 - 1
7.3%
2 - 0
6.6%