Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Malaysia
72.8% win probability
Predicted winner
17.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.69 - 2.24
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 56%
Total goals

Myanmar

1335#161
AFC
VS

Malaysia

1435#66
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

9.9% 17.4% 72.8%
MYA
MAS
100
Rating Gap
0.69
Exp. Goals MYA
2.24
Exp. Goals MAS
27.3%
MYA No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Balanced Rivalry Tight

The 20-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 8W for Myanmar, 7W for Malaysia, 5 draws. Never count either side out.

Rating Gap 100 pts

Malaysia hold a 100-point rating edge: roughly 15.0% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/7W

Malaysia won 7 of their last 10 games; Myanmar won 5. Current form favours Malaysia.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Both teams are major tournament winners. Myanmar's most recent title: 2006. Malaysia's most recent title: 2024.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 2.84 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 56%).

Underdog Record 15% W

Myanmar have won 15% of games entering as underdogs (26W from 169). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

20 meeting(s) · 2007-2022

8
MYA Win
5
Draws
7
MAS Win
17
Goals For
28
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
108
Games Played
132
25.9%
Win %
47.0%
1.04
Goals Per Game
1.70
2.49
Goals Against / Game
1.30
20.4%
Clean Sheet %
29.5%
45.4%
Failed to Score %
30.3%
8.3%
Goalless Draws %
5.3%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,335
Current Rating
1,435
#161
World Ranking
#66
64.1%
Win as Favourite
54.6%
15.4%
Win as Underdog
22.1%
6
Longest Win Streak
6
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
16
1415 (2010)
Peak Rating
1495 (1977)
1W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
9W-8L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

9.9% 17.4% 72.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 21 Dec 22 AWAY
0 - 1
AFF Championship
H 24 Nov 18 AWAY
3 - 0
AFF Championship
H 29 Aug 17 AWAY
1 - 0
Friendly
H 26 Nov 16 AWAY
1 - 0
AFF Championship
D 28 May 16 AWAY
0 - 0
Friendly
D 23 Nov 14 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
AFF Championship
H 18 Jun 11 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly
H 18 Nov 08 AWAY
4 - 1
Friendly Tournament
H 23 Oct 08 AWAY
4 - 0
Merdeka Tournament
D 14 Jan 07 NEUTRAL
0 - 0
AFF Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 1
12.0%
0 - 3
10.0%
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.2%
1 - 3
6.9%