Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Myanmar
70.3% win probability
Predicted winner
18.2%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.21 - 0.77
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.0
Over 2.5: 57%
Total goals

Myanmar

1347#159
AFC
VS

Laos

1255#211
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

70.3% 18.2% 11.5%
MYA
LAO
92
Rating Gap
2.21
Exp. Goals MYA
0.77
Exp. Goals LAO
88.5%
MYA No Defeat
3.0
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/2W

Myanmar won 5 of their last 10 games; Laos won 2. Current form favours Myanmar.

H2H Dominance 11W-0W

Myanmar hold the historical edge: 11W-4D-0L across 15 meetings.

Clean Sheet Rate 13pp

Myanmar keep 22.2% clean sheets vs Laos's 8.8%, a 13pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Rating Gap 92 pts

Myanmar hold a 92-point rating edge: roughly 13.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 2006

Myanmar have a major tournament title to their name; Laos do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 13% W

Laos have won 13% of games entering as underdogs (27W from 204). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

15 meeting(s) · 2000-2026

11
MYA Win
4
Draws
0
LAO Win
42
Goals For
14
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
115
Games Played
73
27.0%
Win %
17.8%
1.10
Goals Per Game
0.93
2.44
Goals Against / Game
2.45
20.0%
Clean Sheet %
6.8%
45.2%
Failed to Score %
41.1%
7.8%
Goalless Draws %
2.7%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,347
Current Rating
1,255
#159
World Ranking
#211
60.8%
Win as Favourite
50.0%
16.8%
Win as Underdog
13.2%
6
Longest Win Streak
3
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
4
1420 (2010)
Peak Rating
1403 (1993)
1W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

70.3% 18.2% 11.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 04 Aug 26
7 - 2
ASEAN Championship
H 18 Dec 24
3 - 2
ASEAN Championship
D 30 Dec 22
2 - 2
ASEAN Championship
A 16 Nov 18
1 - 3
ASEAN Championship
H 13 Oct 15NEUTRAL
3 - 1
FIFA World Cup
D 11 Jun 15
2 - 2
FIFA World Cup
H 20 Oct 14
2 - 1
ASEAN Championship
D 13 Oct 12
0 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 25 Aug 07NEUTRAL
1 - 0
Merdeka Tournament
H 07 Apr 00NEUTRAL
4 - 0
AFC Asian Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.5%
3 - 0
9.2%
1 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
7.0%