Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Myanmar
45.8% win probability
Predicted winner
24.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.62 - 1.26
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.9
Over 2.5: 55%
Total goals

Myanmar

1335#161
AFC
VS

Guam

1310#181
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

45.8% 24.4% 29.8%
MYA
GUM
26
Rating Gap
1.62
Exp. Goals MYA
1.26
Exp. Goals GUM
70.2%
MYA No Defeat
2.9
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 5W/2W

Myanmar won 5 of their last 10 games; Guam won 2. Current form favours Myanmar.

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 8pp

Myanmar keep 22.8% clean sheets vs Guam's 14.6%, a 8pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2006

Myanmar have a major tournament title to their name; Guam do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Rating Gap 26 pts

Myanmar hold a 26-point rating edge: roughly 3.9% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Goal Patterns 2.9 xG

Combined avg of 2.51 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.9 (Over 2.5 probability: 55%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 2013-2026

2
MYA Win
0
Draws
0
GUM Win
11
Goals For
1
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
108
Games Played
46
25.9%
Win %
15.2%
1.04
Goals Per Game
0.96
2.49
Goals Against / Game
2.61
20.4%
Clean Sheet %
10.9%
45.4%
Failed to Score %
54.3%
8.3%
Goalless Draws %
0.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,335
Current Rating
1,310
#161
World Ranking
#181
64.1%
Win as Favourite
46.9%
15.4%
Win as Underdog
14.3%
6
Longest Win Streak
3
8
Longest Unbeaten Run
4
1414 (2010)
Peak Rating
1369 (2015)
1W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

45.8% 24.4% 29.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 06 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
6 - 1
Friendly Tournament
H 02 Mar 13 AWAY
5 - 0
AFC Challenge Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
9.1%
2 - 0
7.3%
1 - 2
7.2%
0 - 1
7.1%