Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Montenegro
72.7% win probability
Predicted winner
18.5%
Honours shared
Draw chance
2.04 - 0.55
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.6
Over 2.5: 48%
Total goals

Montenegro

1349#150
UEFA
VS

Andorra

1252#212
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

72.7% 18.5% 8.8%
MNE
AND
97
Rating Gap
2.04
Exp. Goals MNE
0.55
Exp. Goals AND
91.2%
MNE No Defeat
2.6
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Recent Form 4W/1W

Montenegro won 4 of their last 10 games; Andorra won 1. Current form favours Montenegro.

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 18pp

Montenegro keep 33.3% clean sheets vs Andorra's 15.6%, a 18pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Goal Patterns 2.6 xG

Combined avg of 1.51 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.6 (Over 2.5 probability: 48%).

Rating Gap 97 pts

Montenegro hold a 97-point rating edge: roughly 14.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Underdog Record 3% W

Andorra have won 3% of games entering as underdogs (7W from 216). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

1
MNE Win
0
Draws
0
AND Win
2
Goals For
0
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
98
Games Played
99
32.7%
Win %
12.1%
1.15
Goals Per Game
0.40
1.40
Goals Against / Game
1.75
31.6%
Clean Sheet %
25.3%
37.8%
Failed to Score %
69.7%
10.2%
Goalless Draws %
14.1%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,349
Current Rating
1,252
#150
World Ranking
#212
59.4%
Win as Favourite
53.3%
16.3%
Win as Underdog
3.2%
4
Longest Win Streak
2
9
Longest Unbeaten Run
5
1458 (2011)
Peak Rating
1291 (2022)
0W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

72.7% 18.5% 8.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 27 Mar 26 AWAY
2 - 0
Friendly

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
2 - 0
15.7%
1 - 0
15.3%
3 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
8.4%
0 - 0
7.5%