Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Pick a Match-Up
Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Senegal won 6 of their last 10 games; Mali won 2. Current form favours Senegal.
The 41-meeting rivalry is exceptionally balanced: 11W for Mali, 17W for Senegal, 13 draws. Never count either side out.
Senegal hold a 77-point rating edge: roughly 11.5% extra win probability on ratings alone.
Both teams are major tournament winners. Mali's most recent title: 1997. Senegal's most recent title: 2022.
Mali have won 26% of games entering as underdogs (69W from 270). A strong record against the odds.
Senegal's longest unbeaten run is 24 games vs Mali's 19. Senegal have shown greater resilience historically.
AI Match-Up Evaluation
Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.
Head-to-Head Record
41 meeting(s) · 1999-2026
Comparative Profile
Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
If they play 100 times
Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.