Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Vietnam
58.8% win probability
Predicted winner
23.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.88 - 1.79
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Malaysia

1446#59
AFC
VS

Vietnam

1517#26
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

18.2% 23.0% 58.8%
MAS
VIE
71
Rating Gap
0.88
Exp. Goals MAS
1.79
Exp. Goals VIE
41.2%
MAS No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

H2H Dominance 18W-6W

Vietnam hold the historical edge: 18W-3D-6L across 27 meetings.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.22 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

Recent Form 6W/7W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Malaysia 6/10, Vietnam 7/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Rating Gap 71 pts

Vietnam hold a 71-point rating edge: roughly 10.7% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Tournament Pedigree 2026

Both teams are major tournament winners. Malaysia's most recent title: 2024. Vietnam's most recent title: 2026.

Underdog Record 21% W

Malaysia have won 21% of games entering as underdogs (83W from 391). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

27 meeting(s) · 2018-2026

6
MAS Win
3
Draws
18
VIE Win
22
Goals For
41
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
140
Games Played
137
47.1%
Win %
52.6%
1.69
Goals Per Game
1.70
1.27
Goals Against / Game
0.99
30.7%
Clean Sheet %
42.3%
31.4%
Failed to Score %
26.3%
5.7%
Goalless Draws %
8.8%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,446
Current Rating
1,517
#59
World Ranking
#26
55.6%
Win as Favourite
63.6%
21.2%
Win as Underdog
23.6%
6
Longest Win Streak
14
15
Longest Unbeaten Run
26
1492 (1977)
Peak Rating
1546 (2026)
8W-9L
Penalty Shootouts
2W-1L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

18.2% 23.0% 58.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

H 05 Oct 26NEUTRAL
1 - 0
FIFA Asean Cup
H 19 Aug 26
2 - 0
ASEAN Championship
A 16 Aug 26
0 - 2
ASEAN Championship
H 31 Mar 26
3 - 1
AFC Asian Cup
H 10 Jun 25
4 - 0
AFC Asian Cup
H 27 Dec 22
3 - 0
ASEAN Championship
H 12 Dec 21NEUTRAL
3 - 0
ASEAN Championship
A 11 Jun 21NEUTRAL
1 - 2
FIFA World Cup
H 10 Oct 19
1 - 0
FIFA World Cup
H 15 Dec 18
1 - 0
ASEAN Championship

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 1
12.3%
0 - 2
11.1%
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 0
6.9%
0 - 3
6.6%