Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Morocco
65.8% win probability
Predicted winner
20.8%
Honours shared
Draw chance
1.94 - 0.74
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Morocco

1619#1
CAF
VS

Norway

1536#19
UEFA
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

65.8% 20.8% 13.4%
MAR
NOR
83
Rating Gap
1.94
Exp. Goals MAR
0.74
Exp. Goals NOR
86.6%
MAR No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 2 games

Only 2 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Clean Sheet Rate 21pp

Morocco keep 48.5% clean sheets vs Norway's 27.6%, a 21pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Rating Gap 83 pts

Morocco hold a 83-point rating edge: roughly 12.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 5W/6W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Morocco 5/10, Norway 6/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Goalless Draw Risk 13% 0-0

13.2% of Morocco's games end goalless, well above the global average, suggesting a low-scoring match.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 3.11 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

2 meeting(s) · 1998-2026

0
MAR Win
2
Draws
0
NOR Win
3
Goals For
3
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
175
Games Played
101
66.3%
Win %
52.5%
1.83
Goals Per Game
1.96
0.53
Goals Against / Game
1.04
58.3%
Clean Sheet %
38.6%
19.4%
Failed to Score %
18.8%
11.4%
Goalless Draws %
5.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,619
Current Rating
1,536
#1
World Ranking
#19
56.8%
Win as Favourite
56.9%
34.7%
Win as Underdog
23.7%
13
Longest Win Streak
9
34
Longest Unbeaten Run
17
1632 (2026)
Peak Rating
1550 (2025)
7W-9L
Penalty Shootouts
0W-0L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

65.8% 20.8% 13.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 07 Jun 26 NEUTRAL
1 - 1
Friendly
D 10 Jun 98 NEUTRAL
2 - 2
FIFA World Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
1 - 0
13.3%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
3 - 0
8.4%
0 - 0
6.8%