Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Tanzania
74.5% win probability
Predicted winner
17.4%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.54 - 2.14
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Total goals

Macao

1280#202
AFC
VS

Tanzania

1389#116
CAF
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

8.1% 17.4% 74.5%
MAC
TAN
109
Rating Gap
0.54
Exp. Goals MAC
2.14
Exp. Goals TAN
25.5%
MAC No Defeat
2.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Limited H2H Data 1 games

Only 1 historical meeting(s). Ratings carry the most weight in this prediction.

Rating Gap 109 pts

Tanzania hold a 109-point rating edge: roughly 16.4% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Clean Sheet Rate 18pp

Tanzania keep 28.3% clean sheets vs Macao's 10.3%, a 18pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Recent Form 0W/1W

Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Macao 0/10, Tanzania 1/10. A closely contested match is expected.

Tournament Pedigree 2010

Tanzania have a major tournament title to their name; Macao do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Goal Patterns 2.7 xG

Combined avg of 1.89 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

1 meeting(s) · 2026-2026

0
MAC Win
0
Draws
1
TAN Win
0
Goals For
6
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
38
Games Played
125
18.4%
Win %
28.8%
0.87
Goals Per Game
0.82
2.03
Goals Against / Game
1.03
15.8%
Clean Sheet %
32.8%
47.4%
Failed to Score %
44.8%
7.9%
Goalless Draws %
12.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,280
Current Rating
1,389
#202
World Ranking
#116
30.3%
Win as Favourite
35.8%
11.6%
Win as Underdog
24.2%
2
Longest Win Streak
6
4
Longest Unbeaten Run
9
1400 (1975)
Peak Rating
1455 (2009)
1W-0L
Penalty Shootouts
8W-10L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

8.1% 17.4% 74.5%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 29 Mar 26 NEUTRAL
0 - 6
FIFA Series

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 3
11.2%
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
8.0%
0 - 0
6.8%