Match-Up Lab
Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.
Pick a Match-Up
Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.
Rating-Based Prediction
WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance
Key Factors
Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome
Both teams are evenly matched in recent form: Lithuania 1/10, Latvia 2/10. A closely contested match is expected.
Both teams are major tournament winners. Lithuania's most recent title: 2010. Latvia's most recent title: 2018.
Combined avg of 2.19 goals per game. Expected total for this match: 2.7 (Over 2.5 probability: 50%).
Shootout record: Lithuania: 1W-2L; Latvia: 4W-3L. Edge goes to Latvia if this match reaches penalties.
Latvia hold a 25-point rating edge: roughly 3.7% extra win probability on ratings alone.
Lithuania peaked at 1438 (in 2008); Latvia peaked at 1416 (in 2009). Lithuania hold the higher all-time ceiling.
AI Match-Up Evaluation
Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.
Head-to-Head Record
61 meeting(s) · 2010-2026
Comparative Profile
Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.
Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)
Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis
Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)
Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?
Scenario Modeller
Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.
Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes
Recent Meetings
If they play 100 times
Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.