Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Thailand
97.8% win probability
Predicted winner
2.0%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.15 - 4.36
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
4.5
Over 2.5: 83%
Total goals

Laos

1255#211
AFC
VS

Thailand

1502#33
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

0.2% 2.0% 97.8%
LAO
THA
247
Rating Gap
0.15
Exp. Goals LAO
4.36
Exp. Goals THA
2.2%
LAO No Defeat
4.5
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 247 pts

Thailand hold a 247-point rating edge: roughly 37.1% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 2W/5W

Thailand won 5 of their last 10 games; Laos won 2. Current form favours Thailand.

H2H Dominance 13W-1W

Thailand hold the historical edge: 13W-2D-1L across 16 meetings.

Clean Sheet Rate 22pp

Thailand keep 31.3% clean sheets vs Laos's 8.8%, a 22pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Thailand have a major tournament title to their name; Laos do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 13% W

Laos have won 13% of games entering as underdogs (27W from 204). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

16 meeting(s) · 1973-2026

1
LAO Win
2
Draws
13
THA Win
16
Goals For
58
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
73
Games Played
157
17.8%
Win %
45.2%
0.93
Goals Per Game
1.64
2.45
Goals Against / Game
1.18
6.8%
Clean Sheet %
36.9%
41.1%
Failed to Score %
23.6%
2.7%
Goalless Draws %
7.0%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,255
Current Rating
1,502
#211
World Ranking
#33
50.0%
Win as Favourite
56.4%
13.2%
Win as Underdog
22.1%
3
Longest Win Streak
9
4
Longest Unbeaten Run
21
1403 (1993)
Peak Rating
1540 (1996)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
14W-11L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

0.2% 2.0% 97.8%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

A 25 Jul 26
0 - 5
ASEAN Championship
D 17 Nov 24
1 - 1
Friendly
H 12 Sep 12
2 - 1
Friendly
D 01 Dec 10NEUTRAL
2 - 2
ASEAN Championship
A 08 Dec 08
0 - 6
ASEAN Championship
H 18 Dec 02NEUTRAL
5 - 1
ASEAN Championship
A 01 Aug 99NEUTRAL
1 - 4
South East Asian Games
H 13 Jun 93NEUTRAL
4 - 1
South East Asian Games
H 12 Dec 74
6 - 1
King's Cup
H 17 Dec 73
5 - 0
King's Cup

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 4
16.6%
0 - 3
15.2%
0 - 5
14.4%
0 - 2
10.5%
0 - 1
4.8%
1 - 4
2.5%