Predictive Analysis

Match-Up Lab

Pre-match analysis powered by rating models, historical head-to-head records, and contextual signals.

Pick a Match-Up

Choose any two teams and the rating model will compute win, draw, and loss probabilities along with expected goals.

Thailand
95.4% win probability
Predicted winner
4.1%
Honours shared
Draw chance
0.15 - 3.52
Model goals (home - away)
Expected score
3.7
Over 2.5: 71%
Total goals

Laos

1283#198
AFC
VS

Thailand

1470#41
AFC
Venue
Context

Rating-Based Prediction

WFS predictor · expected score + venue adjustment · drawn from full historical performance

0.5% 4.1% 95.4%
LAO
THA
187
Rating Gap
0.15
Exp. Goals LAO
3.52
Exp. Goals THA
4.6%
LAO No Defeat
3.7
Exp. Total Goals

Key Factors

Rating-model adjustments and contextual signals that could influence the outcome

Rating Gap 187 pts

Thailand hold a 187-point rating edge: roughly 28.1% extra win probability on ratings alone.

Recent Form 2W/6W

Thailand won 6 of their last 10 games; Laos won 2. Current form favours Thailand.

H2H Dominance 12W-1W

Thailand hold the historical edge: 12W-2D-1L across 15 meetings.

Clean Sheet Rate 22pp

Thailand keep 30.8% clean sheets vs Laos's 9.1%, a 22pp gap that could be decisive in a tight contest.

Tournament Pedigree 2024

Thailand have a major tournament title to their name; Laos do not. Proven pedigree at the highest level.

Underdog Record 13% W

Laos have won 13% of games entering as underdogs (26W from 196). A strong record against the odds.

AI Match-Up Evaluation

Sign in to unlock the AI-generated match-up evaluation, predicted winner and editorial verdict.

Head-to-Head Record

15 meeting(s) · 1971-2024

1
LAO Win
2
Draws
12
THA Win
16
Goals For
55
Goals Against
Last 10 H2H
← most recent

Comparative Profile

Era-aware metrics use only games from the last 10 years.

Era
67
Games Played
145
17.9%
Win %
44.1%
0.93
Goals Per Game
1.61
2.30
Goals Against / Game
1.20
7.5%
Clean Sheet %
35.9%
40.3%
Failed to Score %
24.8%
3.0%
Goalless Draws %
7.6%
All-Time / Lifetime
1,283
Current Rating
1,470
#198
World Ranking
#41
47.2%
Win as Favourite
56.5%
13.3%
Win as Underdog
21.3%
3
Longest Win Streak
9
4
Longest Unbeaten Run
21
1403 (1993)
Peak Rating
1541 (1996)
0W-1L
Penalty Shootouts
12W-10L

Rating Trajectory (Last 2 Years)

Both teams' rating lines overlaid · convergence / divergence analysis

Rolling Win Rate (20-Game Window)

Rolling win rate comparison · which team is in better current form?

Scenario Modeller

Adjust venue and rating parameters to see how the prediction changes in real time.

0.5% 4.1% 95.4%

Adjust parameters above to see real-time probability changes

Recent Meetings

D 17 Nov 24 AWAY
1 - 1
Friendly
H 12 Sep 12 AWAY
2 - 1
Friendly
D 01 Dec 10 NEUTRAL
2 - 2
AFF Championship
H 08 Dec 08 AWAY
6 - 0
AFF Championship
H 18 Dec 02 NEUTRAL
5 - 1
AFF Championship
A 01 Aug 99 NEUTRAL
1 - 4
South East Asian Games
A 13 Jun 93 NEUTRAL
1 - 4
South East Asian Games
H 12 Dec 74 AWAY
8 - 1
King's Cup
H 17 Dec 73 AWAY
5 - 0
King's Cup
H 15 Dec 71 NEUTRAL
3 - 0
South East Asian Peninsular Games

If they play 100 times

Scoreline distribution from the WFS predictor. Each cell shows how often that score would occur out of 100 simulated games: amber for home wins, slate for draws, violet for away wins.

Most likely scorelines
0 - 3
18.5%
0 - 4
16.3%
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 5
11.5%
0 - 1
8.9%
1 - 3
2.8%